Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 86.56
Price - 52 Week High: 87.99
Price - 52 Week Low: 67.23
Price Date (Latest): 11/22/17
Median Price Target: 86.67
Diff from Prev Close: 0.11
% Difference: 0.12

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.64

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.32
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 14.86
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 17.16
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 5.52 6.50 5.02 5.37 13 3 6 1.39
Annual 12/1/18 4.79 5.37 4.38 4.80 18 4 13 -0.18
Annual 12/1/17 4.80 4.86 4.78 4.80 17 17 -- 0.02
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.60 1.65 1.57 1.60 18 7 5 0.23
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.01 1.11 0.86 1.04 15 2 13 -7.32
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.07 1.21 0.95 1.04 15 4 11 -5.30
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.17 1.30 1.07 1.15 15 4 9 -1.56
Long Term Growth 8.00 15.00 1.00 8.00 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 5.32 5.19 2.41
Annual 12/1/15 4.34 3.89 11.64
Annual 12/1/14 3.30 3.23 2.17
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.22 1.04 16.91
Quarterly 6/1/17 1.03 0.99 3.84
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.97 0.95 1.89
Quarterly 12/1/16 1.61 1.49 7.71

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 16.76
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 11.60 13.88 9.32 11.60 2 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 15.12 20.02 10.22 15.12 2 -- 2 --
Annual 12/1/17 13.77 14.47 12.69 14.14 3 -- 3 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 14.36 14.36 14.36 14.36 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 13.36 13.36 13.36 13.36 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/18 12.33 12.33 12.33 12.33 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 11.42 11.42 11.42 11.42 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 16.76 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 12.56 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 13.52 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 6.53 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 6.17 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 11.09 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 16.76 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 6.66 7.56 5.84 6.62 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 6.45 7.55 5.11 6.27 7 2 4 --
Annual 12/1/17 6.35 7.34 5.96 6.19 7 4 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.78 1.89 1.58 1.83 4 1 3 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.11 2.90 1.57 1.98 4 3 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.49 2.12 0.94 1.45 4 2 2 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.84 2.01 1.45 1.95 4 2 1 --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 7.10 7.54 -5.78
Annual 12/1/15 6.45 5.56 16.00
Annual 12/1/14 4.94 4.82 2.48
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.66 1.71 -3.07
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.96 1.43 -32.98
Quarterly 3/1/17 1.86 1.79 3.77
Quarterly 12/1/16 1.64 1.97 -16.65

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/15 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/14 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,051.28
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 913.15 964.00 876.10 912.44 13 -- 8 --
Annual 12/1/18 865.43 1,039.10 833.00 852.47 20 1 19 1.06
Annual 12/1/17 876.25 889.00 843.80 878.83 20 16 4 0.01
Quarterly 12/1/17 294.39 307.20 262.00 297.65 18 7 10 -1.10
Quarterly 3/1/18 191.76 202.35 176.40 193.90 14 -- 13 -8.51
Quarterly 6/1/18 193.16 216.00 174.80 190.85 14 -- 13 -9.64
Quarterly 9/1/18 207.41 220.00 197.70 205.55 14 2 10 -6.60

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1,051.28 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 843.15 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 725.91 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 218.29 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 180.86 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 182.89 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 319.94 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,247.82
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,016.25 1,071.75 974.35 1,014.60 5 -- 3 -10.57
Annual 12/1/18 983.92 1,072.80 910.09 976.70 9 1 8 -9.14
Annual 12/1/17 1,031.29 1,077.90 971.15 1,029.00 9 8 1 1.44
Quarterly 12/1/17 327.16 346.30 297.40 329.45 6 3 3 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 229.72 256.61 207.80 223.40 5 -- 5 --
Quarterly 6/1/18 237.47 262.24 218.80 235.10 5 -- 5 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 251.74 260.12 239.30 253.30 5 1 3 --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1,247.82 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 996.11 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 863.85 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 249.41 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 212.86 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 215.46 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 366.26 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.41
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 3.77 4.81 3.00 3.72 6 1 3 --
Annual 12/1/18 3.30 4.52 2.57 3.22 11 -- 9 --
Annual 12/1/17 3.05 3.24 2.73 3.08 9 7 1 2.48
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.17 1.60 0.58 1.20 10 4 5 1.41
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.67 1.05 0.46 0.63 8 -- 5 --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.70 0.98 0.49 0.68 8 -- 5 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.78 1.10 0.64 0.74 8 -- 5 --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 3.41 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.99 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 1.47 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.82 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.17 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 1.26 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -256.38
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -2,524.00 -2,151.00 -2,897.00 -2,524.00 2 -- 1 37.51
Annual 12/1/18 -1,552.28 -315.33 -2,227.80 -1,833.00 4 3 -- 9.87
Annual 12/1/17 -1,256.25 -1,055.38 -1,463.60 -1,253.00 4 2 1 14.69
Quarterly 12/1/17 -1,633.00 -1,633.00 -1,633.00 -1,633.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -1,856.00 -1,856.00 -1,856.00 -1,856.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -2,020.00 -2,020.00 -2,020.00 -2,020.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -2,153.00 -2,153.00 -2,153.00 -2,153.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 -256.38 -834.40 69.27
Annual 12/1/15 453.62 -408.40 -211.07
Annual 12/1/14 503.54 94.61 432.25
Quarterly 9/1/17 -87.09 -1,286.00 93.23
Quarterly 6/1/17 41.23 -1,028.60 -104.01
Quarterly 3/1/17 -56.52 -1,439.00 96.07
Quarterly 12/1/16 -256.38 -642.59 60.10

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 835.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 742.56 854.90 673.48 737.82 13 -- 8 -10.90
Annual 12/1/18 692.72 815.70 623.06 682.65 20 1 18 -8.45
Annual 12/1/17 737.06 741.64 731.10 736.92 19 18 -- 2.84
Quarterly 12/1/17 241.74 246.18 235.60 242.05 16 7 9 -0.68
Quarterly 3/1/18 156.87 190.40 141.80 155.66 14 2 12 -5.59
Quarterly 6/1/18 157.78 199.60 141.22 154.20 14 2 11 -6.70
Quarterly 9/1/18 169.26 201.10 152.60 165.62 14 2 10 -4.08

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 835.33 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 695.30 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 565.32 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 186.15 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 157.71 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 151.61 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 255.43 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/18 678.00 678.00 678.00 678.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 645.00 645.00 645.00 645.00 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/14 725.91 -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 36.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 42.99 65.85 31.10 37.50 4 2 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 30.11 45.33 16.10 31.35 6 3 2 --
Annual 12/1/17 27.96 35.00 15.40 31.06 8 5 2 8.22
Quarterly 12/1/17 46.10 46.20 46.00 46.10 2 1 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 28.20 28.40 28.00 28.20 2 1 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/18 30.50 32.00 29.00 30.50 2 1 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 36.20 42.00 30.40 36.20 2 1 1 --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 36.46 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 33.53 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 20.58 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 38.41 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 34.90 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 27.93 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 41.19 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,418.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2,973.53 3,219.40 2,923.00 2,950.10 13 -- 9 --
Annual 12/1/18 2,882.81 3,079.00 2,834.40 2,872.93 21 -- 20 0.00
Annual 12/1/17 2,824.49 2,835.00 2,812.10 2,824.80 20 15 4 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/17 777.73 788.00 765.10 777.90 19 15 3 0.53
Quarterly 3/1/18 683.96 726.70 666.11 681.25 16 2 14 -1.04
Quarterly 6/1/18 708.78 764.00 697.91 705.59 16 1 14 -1.22
Quarterly 9/1/18 707.83 760.40 688.60 704.15 16 1 13 -1.35

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 3,418.27 3,410.73 0.22
Annual 12/1/15 3,275.59 3,248.16 0.84
Annual 12/1/14 3,142.86 3,137.20 0.18
Quarterly 9/1/17 690.93 691.53 -0.09
Quarterly 6/1/17 693.23 690.78 0.35
Quarterly 3/1/17 662.68 664.41 -0.26
Quarterly 12/1/16 908.36 900.75 0.84

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 18.02 15.12 1.19
FY1 18.05 195.53 0.09
FY2 15.69 36.82 0.43

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 -9.70 -18.15 1.10
FY2/FY1 -0.20 -12.50 1.14
FY3/FY2 -0.20 -12.50 1.14

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